Nevada and South Carolina: Who will Win?

On February 22, Nevada held their Democratic Caucus. Not long after, the South Carolina Democratic Primary took place on February 29. 

In the months prior to the race for the 2020 election, states hold primaries or caucuses. The results of the primaries and caucuses decide which candidates are the most popular and greatly supported by the American people. Also, they determine how many delegates the candidates receive depending on their voting percentage. 

“Since Nevada and South Carolina are so much earlier, they can pave the way for how the rest of the caucuses go. Most other states don’t have their primaries or caucuses until March,” stated U.S. History teacher Ms. Powers. 

In regards to the South Carolina Primary and Nevada Caucus, their results remain very influential on the 2020 campaign due to their early presence in the race.  

Since these primaries and caucuses are so early in the race, their results tend to be very unpredictable. 

In the Nevada Caucus, Vermont senator Bernie Sanders won the primary, with 46.8% of the vote, thus earning him 24 delegates. Following behind was Former vice president Joe Biden with 20.2% and 9 delegates, then South Bend mayor Pete Buttigieg, Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren, and Tom Seyer.  

More recently, the South Carolina primary had fairly different results. In South Carolina, Biden won with 48.4% of the vote and 35 delegates. Following behind was Sanders with 19.9% and 13 delegates, then Steyer, Buttigieg, and Warren. 

Due to the results of the South Carolina primary, Buttigieg and Seyer announced they were dropping out of the campaign. 

“I have been surprised by all of the caucus and primary results. However, the Nevada Caucus surprised me the most because I would have thought that Joe Biden, with all of his name recognition as former Vice President, would be higher up than Bernie,” said junior Mary Condon, who remains up to date with politics. 

It came as a shock to many people that Biden did not gain more votes in Nevada than he did based on his previous occupation as vice president under President Obama. 

Although, Bernie Sanders has some distinct qualities about him that many citizens like. 

“Bernie may have had a lead in the Nevada Caucus because perhaps people are more drawn to him because he ran before and his policies are so different than President Trump’s,” suggested Ms. Powers. 

Since Sanders is so radically different from President Trump, that may be what intrigues current Democrats to him. 

“I originally guessed that the South Carolina Primary results would be similar to Nevada’s because of what previous results have been. However, I was surprised to see that Biden and Sanders essentially switched places and now Biden is in the lead,” said junior Ian Zitney, who closely follows the 2020 election.  

Although the two top candidates remained the same in both Nevada and South Carolina, the results were still dramatically different due to the demographic of the two states. 

Thus, the 2020 Democratic race is in the hands of the American people and can vary from state to state.

Additionally, another upcoming event that is very influential is Super Tuesday, where 14 states hold their primaries. The results have a large impact on the Democratic nomination. 

“I am looking forward to the results of the other caucuses and primaries and seeing who may be the Democratic candidate for the 2020 election,” said Condon.